Binary Order book No house fee Crypto Closes in 16 days

Will Bitcoin be above $83,000 at 12:00 UTC on 15 October 2026?

Resolves YES if the BTC price at 15 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC is above 83000.

The strike of 83000 was set when the market was created. The market closes at 2026-10-15T11:55:00Z. Resolves YES if the BTC reference price at 2026-10-15T12:00:00Z is STRICTLY GREATER than the strike of 83000. The reference price is the CLOSE of the last completed Binance BTCUSDT 1-minute candle at 2026-10-15T12:00:00Z - a finished candle anyone can read off the Binance chart, so the price does not depend on when the market is settled. It resolves NO otherwise, including when the price is exactly equal to the strike. If the reference price cannot be read, the market is not settled until it can be - trading has already closed by then, and the market is never settled on a substitute price.

Closes 15 Oct 2026, 07:55 UTC Resolves 15 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC Verify resolution →

Place an order

Outcome iThe result you are trading on, e.g. YES or NO. Tap to pick a side.

Currency iThe wallet currency you place and settle this order in. Side iBuy if you think this outcome will happen. Sell to take the other side or to close shares you already hold. Price per share iBetween 0.01 and 0.99. This is the implied probability - 0.60 means a 60% chance. You pay this amount for each share. Number of shares iHow many shares to trade. Each winning share pays out 1.00 when the market resolves.

The most you can lose on a buy is the price you pay per share. A winning share is worth 1.00.

How this market pays

How this market pays. You buy shares in an outcome at a price between 0 and 1, and you can place a sell order at any time while the market is open.

It fills when a buyer takes it. When the result is confirmed, every share of the winning outcome pays 1 unit of the currency it was bought in, and every share of a losing outcome pays nothing.

You pay a fee only when your order crosses the spread: 0% of the value it trades. Resting an order in the book is free.

If the market is VOIDED we unwind every position: you get back the money still held against your orders, and we refund the fees you paid on this market. After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window.

When it closes we credit them to your balance.

How prediction markets work · Full prediction market terms · Adjudication log

Chance over time iHow the market-implied chance of each outcome has moved. At 50%, buyers are pricing it as a coin flip.

Your positions iShares you hold in this market, your average entry price and profit/loss so far. Once the market settles, each row shows whether it won or lost and its final P/L before fees.

Your open orders iLimit orders still waiting to trade. We hold the stake until they fill or you cancel.

Books by currency iEach currency is its own order book. You can trade the books your site offers; the rest are shown so you can see the whole market.

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